Themes - 16 August 2013

en - Why deny climate change?

In this month’s briefing, our Global Security Consultant, Paul Rogers, asks: Are extreme weather events getting more frequent or is it more the case that, when they do occur, their effects are worse? He shows that climate disruption can only be prevented in the long-term by urgent action in the short-term.

Oxford Research Group’s work on ‘sustainable security’ is centred on four trends that are likely to influence international and intra-national conflict in the coming decades – climate change, socio-economic divisions, resource scarcities and militarisation. It addresses a dysfunctional security paradigm that is centred on responding to threats rather than concentrating on and preventing the underlying causes. The first of these, the issue of climate change, is one that has overwhelming scientific support, yet arouses very strong and determined opposition. The recent report from the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) on global climate weather trends from 2001-2010, published on 3 July 2013, may help tip the balance in favour of responding in time to the risks of climate disruption.



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